Tuesday, October 11, 2005
Tugging on the Rug |
Is Chadrika going to screw Mahinda? Is she going to do something to pull the rug out from under him at the last moment? Is she willing to sink Mahinda, and deny the SFLP power for six years simply to keep the Bandaranaike family at the helm of the SLFP?
That seems to be what much of Colombo is contemplating right now.
But she can't really do much to him after he has handed in his nomination as their candidate for the Presidential Election. Is she crazy enough to pull some wild stunt just pre-election that can destabilize Mahinda's platform? Isn't Anura already doing that? With all the statements he's been making on public platforms stating that it was Mahinda himself who brought the P-TOMS to the Parliament, even though he is now saying he will abolish it if he becomes the President, and statements expressing disgust at the JVPs approach to the peace process, Anura has already been slowly tugging at the rug beneath Mahinda. Is he just setting things up for his sister to step in and take the final KO punch?
She really has little to lose. She can sink Mahinda now with no risk to herself. Even if the punch does backfire and the SLFP as a whole does go with Mahinda disregarding the Bandaranaikes I don't think she's going to be too worried.
But what if she releases S B? According to little bits of gossip going around the UNP camp she's trying to make a deal with S B. She'll release him and let him do whatever the UNP wants him to do for this election, if he gives her the book he's been writing and promises never to write it again. Now now, don't we all want to know what's in the bloody book if she wants it so badly. This is all just unverified gossip but I wouldn't be too surprised if it was true.
Has S B really put down on paper all the dirty little secrets about their Government? Will she release him? And even if she does, when impact, if any, is that going to have on the election?
That seems to be what much of Colombo is contemplating right now.
But she can't really do much to him after he has handed in his nomination as their candidate for the Presidential Election. Is she crazy enough to pull some wild stunt just pre-election that can destabilize Mahinda's platform? Isn't Anura already doing that? With all the statements he's been making on public platforms stating that it was Mahinda himself who brought the P-TOMS to the Parliament, even though he is now saying he will abolish it if he becomes the President, and statements expressing disgust at the JVPs approach to the peace process, Anura has already been slowly tugging at the rug beneath Mahinda. Is he just setting things up for his sister to step in and take the final KO punch?
She really has little to lose. She can sink Mahinda now with no risk to herself. Even if the punch does backfire and the SLFP as a whole does go with Mahinda disregarding the Bandaranaikes I don't think she's going to be too worried.
But what if she releases S B? According to little bits of gossip going around the UNP camp she's trying to make a deal with S B. She'll release him and let him do whatever the UNP wants him to do for this election, if he gives her the book he's been writing and promises never to write it again. Now now, don't we all want to know what's in the bloody book if she wants it so badly. This is all just unverified gossip but I wouldn't be too surprised if it was true.
Has S B really put down on paper all the dirty little secrets about their Government? Will she release him? And even if she does, when impact, if any, is that going to have on the election?
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what ever she does wont affect the outcome. no one can win with a mainly racist program here now. ranil will win hands down. |
sittingnut - I wanted to set up a political market but I don't have a unix/linux box connected to the internet. Would have been intersting. |
ashanti - thanks, but it's not financial. I've just trashed my computer doing stuff. sittingnut - I wasn't thinking of a real betting but a prediction market with monopoly/virtual money. |
jini: your comment itself makes it fairly clear whose campaign is exclusively racist. ashanthi: i think elections department updates their web site at the same time as they release results to local media. link ivap: why did you trash your 'computer doing stuff'!? interesting idea about 'monopoly' money but i think to predict accurately it should be real money(other wise you will have to screen the players before hand). if others are thinking what the hell is a political market, go here. it's a experimental market conducted by university of iowa (i think it is the first such thing) business school. at present they don't have any active election market but they hadthem at u.s. election time. here are the graphs for 2000 and 2004 presidential 'winner takes all' market. |
why? Experimented a little too far without a recovery disk...:) Yep....we are talking about the same thing. |
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